Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.791039 1.943695 2.105842 2.291318 2.498125 2.722214 2.984182
2025-12-14 1.544138 1.749864 1.980858 2.261007 2.593670 2.978676 3.461766
2025-12-21 1.355345 1.582526 1.847692 2.182993 2.599853 3.106639 3.778025
2025-12-28 1.255352 1.502367 1.800130 2.190173 2.694630 3.334949 4.225548
2026-01-04 1.183826 1.446946 1.773046 2.213571 2.803617 3.582269 4.714822
2026-01-11 1.126375 1.402465 1.753137 2.240104 2.913405 3.834329 5.231228
2026-01-18 1.075678 1.361600 1.732819 2.261341 3.013669 4.077491 5.756408
2026-01-25 1.025240 1.316769 1.702707 2.264605 3.085795 4.282977 6.243497
2026-02-01 0.963243 1.252042 1.640568 2.216871 3.078007 4.366474 6.544928
2026-02-08 0.912975 1.200157 1.592429 2.184711 3.088788 4.476064 6.896392
2026-02-15 0.873428 1.160758 1.559071 2.171002 3.124914 4.625910 7.328944
2026-02-22 0.855310 1.150333 1.566001 2.216992 3.255910 4.937725 8.078310
2026-03-01 0.820055 1.114130 1.534220 2.203063 3.292359 5.099980 8.585752
2026-03-08 0.784783 1.076173 1.497759 2.179328 3.310637 5.232464 9.054243
2026-03-15 0.739190 1.020875 1.432413 2.105619 3.239623 5.201616 9.199307
2026-03-22 0.717435 0.999993 1.418072 2.112592 3.305394 5.419877 9.871289
2026-03-29 0.700950 0.986154 1.413609 2.134955 3.398789 5.696482 10.702871
2026-04-05 0.686222 0.974207 1.411270 2.160294 3.498756 5.994256 11.624388
2026-04-12 0.671260 0.961138 1.406326 2.180571 3.590546 6.284442 12.573967
2026-04-19 0.653499 0.942881 1.392064 2.183687 3.650326 6.516025 13.423110
2026-04-26 0.626650 0.909233 1.351317 2.138110 3.614598 6.548489 13.792867
2026-05-03 0.604410 0.882070 1.319997 2.107396 3.604954 6.633909 14.307749
2026-05-10 0.586896 0.861821 1.299211 2.094302 3.628484 6.791770 15.035175